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My take on today’s SNDK price action:
Today, SNDK has broken away from the “blood-sucking effect” of HBM competitors tied to Hynix; it was the first to turn green, but it will most likely still fail to break above 1950, i.e., Thursday’s high. This suggests several fundamental conclusions:
1)The spike yesterday at midday was caused by expiring-date options leading to short-term bullish behavior
2)The shorts are still in control
3)The possibility of a dead-cat bounce cannot be completely ruled out; I’ll keep watching for a pullback next week. Knowing and doing as one—I already sold a next-week call spread
4)As long as it hasn’t broken below Thursday’s gap, 1500 is still a safe short-term bottom
In addition, for retail traders who want to “copy the homework,” I sincerely offer this advice: if you don’t have a long-term hold position, I think you should play dead—except for high-probability technical signals, such as the deep V around 1500 on Tuesday.
A brief lesson from life should tell you: the more you do, the more you’ll be wrong—this basic logic applies.
Why do people think they can play the short term better than Wall Street? Why pick up coins in front of Wall Street’s steamroller? Why go up against a few thousand math PhDs from top schools and tens of thousands of AI agents?
Did the people who chased higher on Thursday really make money?
The SNDK bought at last month’s high—are you really not willing to hold it all the way to 2028?
So my suggestion is: just fully exit, to reduce a curse for yourself and the world.
Because deep down, you already know you’re wrong.
If you bought the wrong thing, then you’re wrong; if you’re wrong, you have to lose money—stop constantly thinking about getting back to even.
If you want to get back to even, switch to a new track, a new strategy, a new instrument, and a new life.
For example, you can recently look at Meta.
But this is not investment advice.
Thanks, everyone