Predict.fun World Cup Knockout Stage: Spain’s chance of advancing is 74%, while Belgium’s upset probability is about 25%

Mars Finance News: On July 10, data from the prediction market platform Predict.fun showed that in the quarterfinals of the 2026 USA-Canada-Mexico World Cup, Spain would face Belgium. As of the time of writing, the market assigned Spain a probability of advancing of about 74%, while Belgium’s probability of advancing was about 25%. Overall, traders are more bullish on Spain advancing to the semifinals. Notably, Spain, driven by its smooth possession-based passing control system and the outstanding performance of its young players, has maintained its strong form throughout this World Cup; Belgium, meanwhile, relied on extensive experience in major tournaments and a mature tactical system to reach the quarterfinals.
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