#预测世界杯西班牙VS比利时 At 3:00 a.m. Beijing time on July 11, the second Round of 16 match of the 2026 World Cup will kick off at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. Spain will take on Belgium, and the winner will face the already-qualified France in the semifinals.

This is an extreme “battle of contradictions.” In five matches, Spain have recorded 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 9 goals and conceding none—the only team at this World Cup with zero goals conceded. Goalkeeper Simón’s consecutive clean-sheet record has been extended to 609 minutes. The team’s average possession is about 60%, and their passing success rate is as high as 91%. By relying on high-possession control and quick counter-pressing, they almost never give opponents a chance to mount sustained attacks. Head coach De la Fuente flexibly switches between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1; Rodri is the midfield core. On the flanks are Lamine Yamal and Baena driving forward, while up front, Oyazábal has already scored 4 goals.

Belgium had only 2 points after their first two group matches, but they have since gathered momentum and have been on the rise. In their last 3 matches, they scored 12 goals. However, in 5 matches they conceded in 4 of them, showing insufficient defensive stability. The biggest blow is that defensive midfielder Onana suffered a serious cruciate ligament injury and is ruled out, with Vanaken expected to replace him. In the Round of 16, coach García put De Bruyne, Doku, and Lukaku on the bench and still won convincingly, but against Spain the three major stars are expected to return to the starting lineup. Although Lukaku is frequently a substitute, he has scored in three straight matches, and De Ketelaere is in hot form.

The two teams have met 23 times in history: Spain have 12 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses. They have remained unbeaten in their last 11 meetings (9 wins, 2 draws). The only time they met in a World Cup knockout match was the 1986 quarterfinal, when Belgium eliminated Spain on penalties. Opta’s supercomputer predicts Spain’s probability of winning in 90 minutes is 58.3%, compared with Belgium’s 19.1%; Spain’s overall probability of advancing to the semifinals is 69.8%.

If Spain score first, they will move into control of the tempo. If they can’t break the deadlock after prolonged pressure, Belgium’s sharp counterattacks could change the course of the game at any time. Overall, Spain have the advantage in cohesion and defensive solidity, but Belgium’s attacking explosiveness is enough to cause any surprise. Prediction: Spain win narrowly to advance, with a score of 1-0 or 2-1.