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Predict.fun World Cup Knockout Stage: Spain has a 74% chance of advancing; Belgium’s upset chance is about 25%
BlockBeats message, July 10. Data from the prediction market platform Predict.fun shows that in the quarterfinals of the 2026 World Cup in the US, Canada, and Mexico, Spain will face Belgium. As of the time of writing, the market gives Spain a probability of advancing of about 74%, and Belgium a probability of about 25%, with traders overall more optimistic that Spain will advance to the semifinals.
Notably, Spain has maintained its strong form in this World Cup, driven by its smooth possession-based passing system and outstanding performances from young players; Belgium, meanwhile, has reached the quarterfinals by relying on its wealth of experience in major tournaments and a mature tactical system.