Stop fantasizing about “buying the dip” on knockoff coins—you’re just digging a hole for yourself.



First of all, it’s highly likely the market is already in a bearish phase. Most of the altcoins have already been cut in half. Many people think that since the price is low, it’s time to buy the dip—but I believe it’s precisely *not* a time to buy the dip. Why?

1. **From a market perspective:** What we can see is that most altcoins are still falling without any real sign of stopping and pulling prices back up. What’s more, most coins have already been cut in half, and some have even gone to zero. In this situation, do you think the main players are willing to spend money to rescue those trapped in positions? They finally managed to sell all their coins off to retail traders—so why would they then pull prices up again to help retail traders get out of their losses? Obviously, that’s not possible. They can’t launch a rally without flushing through to the next bull market and clearing out these retail traders. And many altcoins will go to zero directly, because the market makers have already left—only some retail traders are still fantasizing about an “altcoin season.”

2. **From a timing perspective:** The four-year cycle of bull and bear markets has basically been proven. And this year’s bull market is indeed different from before. Aside from BTC and a few altcoins that have already come into a bull market, most other altcoins are still trading at bear-market prices—and prices that can’t rise in a bull market—do you really think they can rise after falling into a bear market? We need to understand that the four-year bull/bear cycle refers to what’s driven by BTC’s halving. In other words, as long as BTC enters a bull market, the overall market enters a bull market. It’s not because altcoins didn’t rise and therefore the bull market didn’t arrive.

3. **From a capital perspective:** Right now, this market is a fixed-size (existing) market, and liquidity is drying up. The market makers have already cut off a lot of retail traders’ money. For example, previously, if this market had $10 billion$ in trading capital, lifting 1,000 altcoins in a broad surge would be no problem. But now there’s only $3 billion$ of capital, and there are 30 million altcoins. Tell me—how do you get a broad rally? As capital shrinks, retail traders get cut off and disappear faster, while the number of altcoins keeps increasing—how could they possibly be lifted back up? That’s why this year’s bull market is only a bull market for certain individual coins: because the money runs out quickly.

The crypto market is full of uncertainty and challenges, but it also contains potential opportunities. When investors participate in crypto investing, they should fully understand the relevant risks, stay calm and rational, and respond to changes in the market with a steady strategy! $GT $EVAA
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IReallyDon'tKnowHowToGo
· 07-11 00:34
Your analysis is good—don’t analyze anymore in the future. You don’t have a basic understanding of altcoins. This has nothing to do with the market.
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BlackMambaKobe
· 07-10 13:46
Your analysis is excellent.
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