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July 10
20:56, current price: BTC 64200, ETH 1792.
Trading strategy: Enter a long position with a starter order at 640-6410, add to the position at 636, first take-profit at 647-649, second take-profit at 654-655.
For ETH: Enter a long position with a starter order at 1780-1785, add to the position at 1758, first take-profit at 1810-1820, second take-profit at 1840-1850
1. A short-term overbought divergence pullback; the 1H/4H higher-cycle uptrend remains intact, with insufficient momentum for a deep drop. (75% probability)
BTC: Retrace to 635-636, with an absolute limit that it won’t break below 631; after stabilizing, it will once again test 647-649. A volume-backed breakout would target 654-656.
ETH: Retrace to 1775-1783 support, with an absolute limit at 1763; after stabilizing, rebound to challenge 1811, with a break targeting 1840
2. Range-bound consolidation at high levels to burn off overbought indicators (20%: ) BTC: 631-647, ETH: 1763-1811; oscillating back and forth for 4-12 hours, using time to digest the 15/30-minute top divergence—no one-sided rise or fall
3. Deep pullback (5): If it breaks below 632-630, 1766 will look to 624-626, then 1730