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Worst thing that can happen to Bitcoin short term
GM,
We had a +11% bear market bounce on bitcoin:native, and the majority of people who have been horribly wrong since Q4 2025, when we entered the bear market, are out again.
This is the worst thing that can happen to Bitcoin right now because, if we don't see a reclaim of the 74k area, and especially 82k, this is nothing but a bear market rally (again), while FOMO will creep back in.
It's still unreal to me that people who pretended to know TA can't see (or maybe they have other motives) that 82k is the last LowerHigh on the weekly chart, so without a reclaim of it, there is no bottom confirmation under the current structure.
A bit of a memory refresh for them and for everyone else, so you don't fall into this FOMO trap again:
1. Early Nov 2025: Bitcoin loses 108k and continues sub 100k area. The bear market starts.
2. Mid Nov 2025 till mid Jan 2026: Bitcoin has a bear market rally. Permabulls make fun of people who flipped bearish, only to get mud on their faces after BTC drops -40%.
3. Early Feb 2026 till mid May 2026: Bitcoin has another bear market rally. Permabulls make fun of people who flipped bearish, only to get again mud on their faces after BTC drops -30%.
4. Now, we might be starting another bear market rally/ bounce, or call it whatever you want. But please do yourself a favor and stop listening to people who have been wrong for the last nine months and start listening to Price.
Nota Bene: Can this be the bear market bottom? Yes, but it's very unlikely. NOBODY knows if this is the bear market bottom today, as we don't have any change in structure on the HTF and liquidity is still flowing out of the crypto space. The flows still indicate a bear market, but that's a topic for another day.
Happy to debate with anyone on this topic. 🫡