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#AnthropicSecondaryValuationHits1.2Trillion : The AI Gold Rush Nobody Can Buy Into
The artificial intelligence arms race has reached a new milestone. Anthropic, the developer behind the Claude AI model, has seen its secondary market valuation soar to an unprecedented $1.2 trillion — a 550% year-over-year increase that has cemented its position as the most sought-after private company in venture capital history.
But here's the catch: almost no one is selling。
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The Numbers Behind the Madness
Just three months ago, Anthropic's secondary valuation crossed the $1 trillion mark for the first time, officially overtaking longtime rival OpenAI. Now, at $1.2 trillion, the gap has widened significantly. OpenAI currently trades at **$908 billion** on the Caplight platform — impressive by any measure, but trailing Anthropic by nearly $300 billion.
Anthropic's last primary fundraising round, a Series H completed in late May 2026, set the company's official post-money valuation at $965 billion. The current secondary market pricing represents a substantial premium over that official figure, reflecting intense investor demand that has far outpaced the company's own fundraising benchmarks.
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"The Most Sought-After Company the Venture Secondary Market Has Ever Seen"
Javier Avalos, co-founder and CEO of Caplight — a secondary trading platform where Anthropic shares are changing hands at the $1.2 trillion level — didn't mince words. His counterpart at Rainmaker Securities, CEO Glen Anderson, confirmed seeing transactions at the same valuation.
But here's what makes this valuation different from any other in history: the demand is practically insatiable, yet the supply is almost nonexistent.
"The demand outstrips the supply in Anthropic so much that it's rare to get a trade done because no one's selling," Anderson told Business Insider. "If I could close everything I have in Anthropic in terms of demand, I would not be talking to you. I'd be on a beach right now."
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Why Is Everyone Clamoring for Anthropic?
The Revenue Explosion
Anthropic's run-rate revenue tells a staggering story: from approximately $3 billion** in mid-2025 to **$14 billion by February 2026. This explosive growth reflects the enterprise world's embrace of Claude and Anthropic's proprietary AI technology.
The IPO Catalyst
In early June 2026, Anthropic filed a confidential IPO prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission — a step that could lead to one of the largest public listings in market history. With an expected IPO in the coming months, investors are desperate to secure a position before the company debuts on public markets.
Since Anthropic has yet to go public, the vast majority of investors are forced to buy via secondary markets, where existing stock is sold by employees or early investors. With the stock soaring, few are willing to part with their shares.
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The Desperate Measures
The scarcity has driven some prospective buyers to extraordinary lengths — including offering to exchange their homes for Anthropic stock.
Most secondary transactions are structured as SPVs (special-purpose vehicles) , which allow investors to pool their funds for single, one-off deals. These SPVs have become the predominant mechanism for trades, even as Anthropic has explicitly spoken out against them.
The company's website now carries a stark warning:
"Invest at your own risk: if someone offers you a way to participate, even on an indirect basis, in an investment in Anthropic, assume that it is invalid."
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The OpenAI Factor: A Resurgent Rival
While Anthropic commands the lion's share of investor interest — drawing five prospective buyers for every two seeking OpenAI shares — OpenAI has seen a significant surge in momentum in recent weeks.
The renewed enthusiasm is largely driven by the public rollout of OpenAI's powerful GPT-5.6 model series, which includes the flagship model "Sol" and the budget-oriented "Terra". This release has rekindled significant interest in OpenAI, though it still trails Anthropic in secondary market valuation.
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What This Means for the AI Landscape
Anthropic's $1.2 trillion secondary valuation represents more than just a number — it signals a fundamental shift in the AI industry's power dynamics.
The Implications:
· AI is no longer a speculative bet — it's the most sought-after asset class in private markets
· Anthropic has surpassed OpenAI in market perception, a reversal of the historic order
· The IPO will be historic — potentially the largest tech offering in market history
· Supply scarcity is driving valuation — this is not just about fundamentals, but about extreme demand meeting extreme scarcity
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Risks and Realities
Despite the euphoria, several cautionary notes deserve attention:
1. Secondary Market Volatility — These valuations come from private secondary share transactions, not new funding rounds. They reflect sentiment and scarcity as much as underlying business fundamentals.
2. SPV Risks — Many SPV structures come with high fees and byzantine ownership structures. Anthropic has explicitly warned investors to assume any indirect investment offer is invalid.
3. Scam Proliferation — The company has become more explicit in warning against unauthorized stock sales and investment scams.
4. IPO Timing Uncertainty — While Anthropic has filed confidentially, the company has said the timing of any offering will depend on market conditions.
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The Bottom Line
Anthropic's $1.2 trillion secondary valuation is a testament to the AI revolution's ferocious momentum. It represents a 550% year-over-year increase — growth that would be astonishing for any company, let alone one that hasn't yet gone public.
But the story is as much about what you can't buy as what you can. With shares nearly impossible to acquire, homes being offered in exchange for stock, and the company itself warning investors away from unauthorized transactions, Anthropic has become the ultimate symbol of AI's狂热 — a prize everyone wants and almost no one can have.
The coming months will be decisive. An Anthropic IPO could be one of the largest in market history, potentially opening the floodgates for public participation. Until then, the secondary market will continue to reflect the extraordinary tension between limitless demand and virtually nonexistent supply.
One thing is certain: the AI gold rush is far from over — and Anthropic is sitting at the center of it all.
#Anthropic #AI #Valuation #Claude