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95% short win rate, will $HOME /USDT be about to collapse?
HOME_USDT - Go short SHORT
Trading plan:
Entry: 0.01554 – 0.01562
SL: 0.01596
TP1: 0.01529
TP2: 0.01510
TP3: 0.01482
Why focus on this structure?
- 4-hour EMA short alignment, 1D trend clearly down; any bounce is a short opportunity.
- RSI on 15m is in the neutral zone at 49.43, not oversold; bearish momentum hasn’t exhausted.
- Current price 0.01558, TP1 0.01529 (-1.9%), TP2 0.01510 (-3.1%), stop loss 0.01596 (+2.4%); risk-reward ratio over 2:1.
- Why now? ATR on 1h is only 0.000159, volatility is low; before breaking the prior high of 0.01649, shorts have the edge and it’s suitable for an early setup.
Discussion:
Do you think HOME_USDT will hit TP2 0.01510 first, or will it fake the breakdown to lure longs and then rebound?