Reuters reported that three people familiar with the Bank of Japan’s thinking said the BOJ is expected to keep the short-term policy interest rate unchanged at 1% at its policy meeting on July 30-31, but may retain policy guidance for further rate hikes. The sources said the BOJ may slightly raise its economic growth forecast for fiscal year 2026 in its quarterly report, and may lower its forecast for core inflation due to the drop in oil prices; however, weak yen, wage growth, and cost pressures driven by AI demand mean the BOJ will continue to watch the risk of inflation overshooting.

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FrontrunTherapy
· 6h ago
Quarterly report fine-tuning data, in essence, leaves room for policy flexibility
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HotAirBalloonViewingSchedule
· 6h ago
The 1% interest rate is locked in, but the combination of raising 2026 growth and cutting inflation is kind of interesting.
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StonesUnderTheAurora
· 6h ago
The Bank of Japan held steady, and the market had already expected it; the key is the wording of the subsequent guidance.
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SucculentCross-Section
· 6h ago
AI demand is driving cost pressure, and this narrative is increasingly starting to resemble the one from the US stock market.
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