Geopolitical market moves—small loss to test the waters! 74.5 short, 71.5 long, with everything in between just for show—when will the big bullish candle arrive?

Don’t just look at Trump bombing Iran with 170 targets; oil prices were the first to back down—yet the real big players are quietly accumulating while others panic!

The Republican Party is in turmoil internally, worried that higher oil prices will push inflation and make them lose in the midterm elections. Wars cost money, and voters need to eat—how long this contradiction can last is anyone’s guess. But in the short term, ships in the Strait of Hormuz are still getting hit, and the geopolitical premium hasn’t fully played out.

Technically, 74.88 remains a short-term ceiling that’s hard to break higher, but the daily MACD has a golden cross pointing upward, and the broader trend still favors bulls. The most brutal part is the data: bulls’ open interest ratio is 7.84%. Even with unrealized losses, they’re still holding firm and won’t retreat, with positions highly concentrated. Smart money isn’t clueless—they’re betting on conflict escalating and oil surging.

Wang Ge’s view:
Never chase shorts again below $72!
Short around 74.5, long around 71.5—between them, just watch the chop. In a geopolitical trade, it’s better to take a small loss and test than to get swept away by one move.

$CL ‌

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