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7/10 SOL Analysis:
1. Macro Perspective:
Weekly & Daily Structure Still Bullish
Weekly: Price has pulled back from highs, but remains above the mid-line of Bollinger Bands (~$75-$77 region). The MA5 is flattening but not crossing bearish; MACD red bars are shortening but have not turned green. This indicates the long-term bull structure is intact, and the current move is a large-scale correction within an ongoing uptrend.
Daily: Price has broken below the short-term ascending trendline and is testing a key support zone (the upper edge of the previous high-volume cluster, ~$75-$76). The KDJ indicator has formed a bearish cross at high levels and is spreading downward, suggesting strong short-term adjustment pressure. However, it has not yet entered oversold territory, meaning repeated consolidation is likely. Conclusion: The major trend is bullish, but the short term is in weak adjustment. Do not blindly chase highs; wait for stabilization signals.
2. Medium-Term Structure:
4H/8H – End of C-wave Decline
4H/8H: These are the core trading timeframes. After hitting a new high of $83.96, price underwent a clean ABC corrective wave. It has now broken below the $80 round number, touching a low of $76.24. Crucially, price is near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (from the $60 to $84 rally) and also at the lower Bollinger Band support on the 4H chart.
Chan Theory perspective: A new 4H-level consolidation zone is forming, with the current move being a downward departure leg. If price stabilizes and rebounds within the $76-$77 range, it will form a "consolidation divergence" – an excellent buying opportunity. Conclusion: The medium-term is oversold, bearish momentum is nearly exhausted, and a technical bounce could occur at any moment.
3. Micro Signals:
1H and Below – Divergence Brewing
1H: Price dipped to $76.24 then recovered, leaving a long lower wick, indicating strong buying below $76. The WR indicator has entered oversold territory (near -80), implying short-term selling pressure is exhausted.
15min/5min/3min: A small "double bottom" or "right shoulder of a head-and-shoulders bottom" pattern is forming. MACD green bars are shortening, and the fast/slow lines are about to form a golden cross below the zero line. Once a 5-min divergence or golden cross appears, it will be the starting gun.
4. Specific Trading Strategy
7/10 – Wishing all brothers and sisters to flip accounts and get rich, earn more U:
SOL Contract Strategy Market Analysis:
1. Light short: Short near 79.4, TP1: 74.9, TP2: 72, Stop: 80
2. Main long: Long near 74.7, TP1: 78.3, TP2: 83.8, Stop: 73.5
3. Conservative long: Long near 72, TP1: 84, TP2: 87.8, Stop: 68
4. Golden long: Long near 68.8, TP1: 74.8, TP2: 83.8, Stop: 67.8
5. Risk-taking short-term long: Long near 77.8, TP1: 79.5, TP2: 82, Stop: 75.8
Note:
1. For all positions, try to deduct 1-2 points for fees, set breakeven, and continue holding!
2. The above strategy represents only personal views, for reference only, not a recommendation. Profit/loss is your own responsibility!
3. All positions must strictly execute TP and SL, no averaging down. Profit/loss is your own responsibility! #SOL行情分析 $SOL $SOL