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CPI and PPI for June will be released next week.
The overall CPI for June will definitely cool significantly, but there is no way to be bullish.
Due to the US inflation in May being temporarily driven up by the US-Iran war and Middle East conflict energy prices,
energy prices began to fall in June, and the overall CPI will follow crude oil prices downward.
However, core CPI, which excludes food and energy, will be very sticky. Housing rent and tariff issues have always been long-term sticking points for core CPI, and the trend became more severe in the May data.
Institutions' real-time estimates for this data are: overall CPI month-on-month about -0.06%, core CPI month-on-month about 0.23%.
Core CPI would need to fall to 0.1% to excite the market bulls.