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In the World Cup, I've found a market that is severely undervalued.
France plays Morocco tonight, and France's win probability on Polymarket is only 62%:
To be honest, I think this pricing is quite undervalued. Morocco has indeed played well in this World Cup, but let's look at the data. I used Polycop to pull up France's statistics:
World ranking first, strength score 94.9, championship probability 32%. These numbers show that they are basically the strongest team at the moment.
Of course, France has also had its slip-ups. But this is the World Cup knockout stage, no chance to redo, no chance to regret.
I'm betting on France to win.