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Just saw something — a trader dumped $194,220 directly on Polymarket, betting that France won't beat Morocco today.
Several hours before this World Cup quarterfinal kicks off, a newly created wallet made the move. It put in $194,220, betting that France won't win the game in 90 minutes of regular time. If the bet is right, the maximum payout would be around $510k. Even crazier: that money is practically the entire balance of this account. Right now there's only a little over $2,000 in unrealized profit — the real test begins when the match starts.
Interestingly, this wallet was barely used before, seemingly created just for this game.
Wallet:
In the knockout stage of the World Cup, upsets aren't rare. Morocco has already sent several strong teams home to reach the quarterfinals, while France is currently considered one of the biggest title contenders. And now someone is willing to put nearly $200,000 on the line, betting that the market is wrong.
We'll know tomorrow. If it were you, would you bet on France or Morocco?