When I first entered the crypto market, I was also scarred by losses. In the end, I relied on a few tens of thousands of dollars obtained through loans, and climbed step by step to earn tens of millions and even several tens of millions. Below, I’ll summarize my experience and share it with you. I hope you can suffer less loss and earn more U on your way of trading crypto!

— Cycle anchoring is the first principle
The crypto market switches between bull and bear cycles extremely fast, so you must tightly hold onto the BTC halving cycle. Build your base position 18 months before each halving, and gradually reduce your position over the 12 months after the halving. Before the 2020 Bitcoin halving, I used 60% of my funds to allocate to mainstream coins. After weathering the 312 crash, I finally achieved three times the returns. Remember: small coins take their cue from Bitcoin, and Bitcoin takes its cue from the Federal Reserve.​

— Dynamic position balancing is the foundation for survival
Never go all-in. Use the “three-thirds rule” to manage your funds: 30% as a long-term core position, 30% for swing trading, and 30% in cash on standby. When LUNA collapsed in 2022, it was precisely that 30% cash that let me catch the bottom when Ethereum was at 1,000 US dollars. Never let a single-coin position exceed 20%; otherwise, a black swan could wipe you out in one go.​

— Signal filtering must be ruthless
Every day, open your charting app and check three indicators first: when RSI is above 70, take profit decisively; when the MACD daily line forms a dead cross, reduce positions; if the main fund shows continuous outflows for three days, leave the market promptly. In May 2021, when Bitcoin surged to 60,000, these three signals appeared at the same time. I cleared 80% of my positions and avoided the subsequent halving that cut prices in half.​

— Pre-set response plans are required for “black box” scenarios
Crypto often faces sudden policy changes or negative technical news. I summed up the “extreme market formula”: if the drop exceeds 30%, look to support levels; after a volume-backed rebound of 15%, enter again. If the rise exceeds 50%, check how sustainable the positive catalyst is; if there’s a decisive take-profit move after a volume-shrinking pullback of 20%. The night FTX blew up last year, I used this formula to recover 20% of my losses amid the panic.​

— Cognition iteration is the ultimate weapon
Research one new project whitepaper every week, review your trading log every month, and update your investment framework once a year. After losing a million in 2018 due to an ICO, I completely shifted to value investing and only invest in coins that have real application scenarios. Remember: the market is always changing. Clinging to old experience is the same as a slow suicide.​

Final reminder ⚠️: Leverage is a double-edged sword—don’t touch it unless it’s in extreme market conditions. After you become profitable, immediately transfer out your principal, and let the profits compound like a snowball. There will always be opportunities in the crypto world—only if you’re still alive can you wait for the next wave.
#GUSD年化升至3.8%
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#预测世界杯法国VS摩洛哥