$BTC ETFs are dumping $ETH , yet institutions are going crazy to snap them up! Capital is quietly rebalancing—are you following?

Brothers, last night’s ETF data was very interesting—Bitcoin saw a net outflow of 84.9 million, while Ethereum saw a net inflow of 70.5 million, for 5 consecutive days of net inflows. One is being sold, the other is being bought—capital’s stance couldn’t be more different.

BTC: The daily-level MA7 (62165) and MA25 (62154) have already been reclaimed, leaning short-term bullish. But MA99 (62920) is still overhead, about 500+ points above the current level. Yesterday’s ETF net outflow was 84.9 million, and BlackRock’s IBIT alone accounted for 59.1 million of that, indicating institutions are cutting positions. The 4-hour chart rebounded from 61520 to 62493, with mediocre volume; the MACD golden cross has just started to appear, but the strength is still not enough.

ETH: The daily-level MA7 (1737) and MA25 (1738) have both been reclaimed, but MA99 (1766) is pressing even closer than BTC’s. ETFs have recorded net inflows for 5 consecutive days, and Fidelity’s FETH alone contributed 69.2 million, showing that institutions are quietly accumulating. On the 4-hour chart, the rebound from 1712 to 1746 has slightly better volume than BTC, but today’s high was only pushed to 1753 before being slapped back—there really is sell pressure around 1760-1770.

Mige’s personal trading suggestions:
BTC: For shorting, if the rebound fails to break 62700-63000, you can try shorting around that range. If it breaks, look to enter a short at the area above 63700-64300. For going long, as long as it hasn’t broken 61000, you can try going long; if it breaks, wait to buy after it dips and probes down into the 60000-58000 range.

ETH: As of now, as long as it hasn’t dropped below 1710, it’s still in a bullish structure. If it pushes up into the 1760-1780 area, you can try entering shorts there. If it breaks below 1710, your long entries can wait for the “needle” probes below—go long again in the 1650-1600 area.

ETF fund flows have already shown a split—institutions are selling BTC and buying ETH. This signal is worth paying close attention to. In the short term, both BTC and ETH are still fighting near key moving averages, and the direction is not fully clear yet.

Try trades with a light position size, keep your stop-loss properly set, and don’t bet heavily. Wait until the real direction clearly plays out, then increase your position size.

#GUSD年化升至3.8%