BTC 4-hour chart dropped from high 64600, bottomed at 61600 with weak rebound. MACD bearish volume shrinking, RSI neutral. Long and short temporarily balanced. Daytime range 61600–63000. Direction determined by breakout. US-Iran situation is key variable. Escalation increases volatility. Only verbal exchanges, market remains oscillating within range.



Range trading (no substantive escalation)
Short high 62800-63000, stop loss above 63300, targets 62000-61700
​ Long low 61600-61800, stop loss below 61200, targets 62200-63000
Breakout upward (4-hour close above 63000)
Upward breakout, follow trend long,
targets 63800-64000-previous high around 64700, stop loss 62700, add position if retracement support holds
Breakout downward (volume break below 61300)
Downward breakout, escalation will strengthen downtrend, follow trend short, targets 60500-60000-58000, stop loss 62300, add short on resistance rebound$BTC #特朗普宣布美伊停火结束
BTC2.16%
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YieldBonsai
· 07-09 08:06
Orders are already set up from a high level—wait for a brief needle-like spike toward the area around 62800 to test the waters first, and place the stop loss a bit looser; I’m worried the situation could suddenly turn.
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FeeTakerPhD
· 07-09 07:42
The louder the US-Iran war of words gets, the more frustrating the market becomes—only when it actually gets real does it truly become a turning point, because then it will determine the direction; right now it’s just back-and-forth chopping.
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