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The latest Fed meeting minutes early this morning were overall hawkish, but there were no unexpectedly negative surprises.
I summarize the two biggest changes this time:
1. Half of the officials support a rate hike by the end of the year. The market has officially entered an era without easing. There will be no more mindless bull runs in crypto. The subsequent overall trend will be volatile with downward pressure.
2. AI has been included in inflation risks for the first time, indicating that macroeconomic conditions will only tighten further. High-risk altcoins will continue to bleed and weaken.
Plus, Walsh's new policy style: not giving expectations in advance, acting purely based on data.
This means that there will no longer be stable trends in crypto. Everything will be driven by news and data churning back and forth. The era of heavy positions and lying flat is completely over.
This time, BTC fell slightly without crashing because the negative factors were already priced in.
But don't mistake this for a bottom-fishing opportunity. Right now, it's just that sentiment has stabilized, but the trend is turning weak.
In the short term, holding the 61,500-62,000 range still offers a chance for a rebound. Once it breaks down, the downside space will fully open.
Zhixia sincerely reminds:
The upcoming market will be about position management and rhythm, not luck. During the macroeconomic tightening cycle, reducing heavy positions, not holding onto losing trades, and operating in batches are the most stable ways to recover losses and profit.$BTC $ETH #特朗普宣布美伊停火结束