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Fed Minutes: Officials Warn Inflation Risks May Force Interest Rates Higher, AI Investment Becomes a New Variable
北京时间周四凌晨公布的会议纪要显示,官员们对后续政策路径并未形成单一判断。若今年通胀持续处于高位,加息将被视为必要选择;若价格压力很快缓解,利率也可以继续保持不变。
决定下一步行动的核心问题,是当前推高价格的力量会持续多久。纪要反映出的分歧,主要集中在未来前景如何变化,而非6月会议是否必须立即行动。
这份滞后三周发布的纪要显示,决策层对通胀前景的担忧正在加深。根据书面记录,人工智能投资热潮已与中东战事、关税政策一道,被视为可能让价格维持高位并促使美联储加息的因素。
数月前,AI基础设施投资几乎还不是美联储讨论中的重点通胀来源。如今,多位官员提到,数据中心建设和算力支出的激增,已经成为新的需求来源,而经济供给能力正显得紧张。
纪要写道:“多位与会者评论称,价格压力已变得更加广泛,大部分商品和服务……均经历大幅上涨。”更多官员认为,AI基础设施带动的强劲商业投资,可能成为维持价格压力的新力量。