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7.9 ETH: Weakly tracking BTC, rebound under pressure, prioritize shorting on highs
$ETH
Entry: Short near 1760-1780, stop loss 1820, target 1710-1650
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East push up inflation expectations, Fed rate hike expectations continue to heat up, and US tech stocks correct simultaneously. ETH's correlation with Nasdaq is as high as 0.78, with stronger growth attributes and higher risk levels, making it more vulnerable to liquidity tightening than BTC; funds collectively shift to traditional safe-haven assets, and spot selling pressure on ETH is significantly greater than the broader market
On the daily timeframe, the rebound remains capped by the 50-day moving average (around 1800), with short-term moving averages in a bearish alignment; the hourly chart shows a double-top decline structure, rising volume continues to shrink, and price consistently operates below the descending trendline. Currently, it's only a weak recovery after the decline, not reversing the short-term downward structure, bearish trend intact#美终止对伊朗石油制裁豁免 #Strategy上周减持3588枚BTC