ETH short with 95% win rate? Trap or opportunity at the 4H level



$ETH /USDT - Short

Trading plan:
Entry: 1729.71 – 1736.63
SL: 1766.37
TP1: 1708.27
TP2: 1691.67
TP3: 1666.78

Why focus on this structure?
- Current ETH price 1733, 1D trend clearly bearish, 4H bearish signal already armed.
- 15M RSI only 46.93, not oversold, still room to fall.
- Why now? EMA resistance + ATR volatility contraction, invalid above 1744.32, but breaking below 1729.71 opens TP1.

Discussion:
Will it first hit TP2 at 1691, or pump to trap bulls before dumping?
ETH-2.09%
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