Dow Jones Drops 1.4% as Trump Declares Iran Deal "Over"

Remember when the biggest market worry was whether Samsung's (SSNLF +0.00%) earnings were too good? That was Tuesday, aka ages ago. By Wednesday, investors have moved on to weightier concerns such as whether the United States and Iran are about to resume full-scale hostilities.

President Trump declared the interim cease-fire "over" at a NATO summit in Turkey, and Wall Street took the news about as well as expected. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI 1.14%) fell 1.4% by 12:27 p.m. ET, bearing the brunt of the sell-off. The S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.45%) and Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC 0.18%) indexes each declined 0.7%.

^IXIC data by YCharts

Iran escalation sends oil higher and stocks lower

Oil had another good day, which means something probably caught fire again. Sure enough, the Strait of Hormuz remains a mess. Ship traffic through the critical waterway had just started recovering when Tuesday's tanker attacks and subsequent U.S. strikes threw the region back into chaos. The United States Oil Fund (USO +3.59%) jumped 4.4% as Brent crude climbed above $78 per barrel.

The Dow's underperformance relative to the tech-heavy Nasdaq reflects the composition of today's losers.

Goldman Sachs (GS 1.76%) dropped 2.8%, erasing roughly 176 points from the index by itself. Honeywell International (HON 1.55%) continued its post-spinoff slide, falling another 9.7% after losing 8.5% on Tuesday. Sherwin-Williams (SHW 3.42%), Home Depot (HD 2.43%), and American Express (AXP 3.19%) each shed more than 3%. Only six Dow stocks were trading in the green as of this writing.

Image source: Getty Images.

Meanwhile, semiconductor stocks decided they'd had enough of the doom and gloom. The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX +1.77%) rose 1%, breaking a three-day losing streak. Broadcom (AVGO +6.37%) led the charge with a 3.7% gain. Micron Technology (MU +0.65%) traded flat, which counts as a stabilizing victory after losing 7% yesterday.

Alphabet (GOOGL 1.58%) and Amazon (AMZN 1.48%) weren't so lucky, falling 1.9% and 2%, respectively.

And investors lost interest in safe havens despite the turmoil in Iran. Gold (GLD 1.23%) fell 1.75%, and Bitcoin (BTC 2.93%) dropped 3%. When both gold and crypto sell off during geopolitical turmoil, it usually means investors are being extra careful with their money. Who needs a safe investment when you can just convert your assets to cash, right?

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DJINDICES: ^DJI

Dow Jones Industrial Average

Today's Change

(-1.14%) $-602.73

Current Price

$52,322.42

Key Data Points

Day's Range

$52069.87 - $52758.47

52wk Range

$43340.68 - $53289.30

Volume

201.4M

What comes next?

The market's attention span is remarkably short. Just yesterday, everyone was convinced AI had peaked because Samsung made too much money. Today's semiconductor bounce suggests the "peak AI" panic may have been premature. It wouldn't be the first time Wall Street jumps to conclusions, only to reverse course right away.

The situation in the Persian Gulf remains fluid. Funeral processions for Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei are scheduled to conclude July 9, after which negotiations could theoretically resume. But Trump's comments at the NATO summit in Turkey suggest the administration has little interest in returning to the table soon. And both sides are taking military action at the moment. The ceasefire looks fragile, to be polite.

For long-term investors, days like today are noise. For everyone else, buckle up. The road ahead looks bumpy.