$HOME /USDT 4-hour level, 95% probability of a sharp drop?



$HOME /USDT - SHORT

Trading Plan:
Entry: 0.01511 – 0.01527
SL: 0.01597
TP1: 0.01461
TP2: 0.01422
TP3: 0.01363

Why focus on this structure?
- 4H EMA bearish alignment, 1D trend clearly bearish, RSI 15 min is only 43.25, weak rebound.
- Current price 0.01519, near the 4H resistance zone, downside targets TP1 at 0.01461, TP2 at 0.01422.
- Why now? Bearish momentum has not exhausted, and ATR shows low volatility, probability of breaking the previous high is extremely low.

Discussion:
Will this wave hit TP2 first, or is it a bull trap rebound?
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