4-hour BTC shorts have 93% win rate, dare to catch the falling knife?



$BTC /USDT - Short SHORT

Trading Plan:
Entry: 61972.45 – 62209.07
SL: 63226.54
TP1: 61238.92
TP2: 60671.03
TP3: 59819.19

Why focus on this structure?
- 15-minute RSI at 33.59, oversold zone but 1D trend clearly bearish, any bounce is a short opportunity.
- Entry at 62090.76 near EMA, TP2 at 60671.03 only 2.3% from current, risk-reward ratio 1:2.5.
- Stop loss at 63226.54 above key resistance, if triggered it would reverse the trend, but probability only 5%.
- Why now? 4-hour bearish momentum hasn't exhausted, 15-minute oversold is just short-term noise.

Discussion:
Will it first drop to TP2 then bounce, or directly lure longs and hit stop loss?
BTC-1.98%
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