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3.4 USD LAB, dare you buy the dip?
A week ago, LAB was at 18.42 USD. Three days ago, it crashed from 13 USD straight through 7.5 USD. Today, it hit a low near 2.6 USD. Current price is 3.4 USD, down 82% in a week.
Market cap evaporated from 4.7 billion USD to just over 1 billion. 24-hour trading volume is 180 million tokens, 14 times the 15-day average volume.
This isn't a pullback. This is a crash.
First thing: ZachXBT warned you back in May.
On-chain detective ZachXBT publicly accused in May: LAB insiders control over 95% of effective circulating supply.
You think you're trading against the market, but you're actually betting against the project team.
ZachXBT also pointed out that the LAB team unilaterally extended the lock-up period for public sale investors from 3 months to 9 months. They also gave KOLs and whales special treatment with 80% discounts in exchange for promotional content. Founders Vova Sadkov and Mark had previously run a project called Eesee, which also ended in chaos.
Second thing: On July 14, 280 million LAB unlocked.
BubbleMaps warned on July 3: Huge amounts of locked tokens will unlock in mid-July.
280 million LAB, accounting for nearly 90% of current circulating supply. At the previous price, that's nearly 500 million USD in sell pressure.
What the project team won't tell you is — they started unlocking small amounts daily in June, and it will accelerate from July to October.
On one side, daily new sell pressure. On the other, fewer and fewer bag holders.
Third thing: Technicals have fallen into "death mode."
Daily: From an ATH of 27.5 USD all the way down to today, down 88%. Consecutive large bearish candles broke through all support, all moving averages are in bearish alignment.
4H/1H: On July 7, a single candle dropped from 13.89 to 9.76. Volume surged to 641,137 tokens — 14 times the average hourly volume.
Down on volume, up on low volume. Every bounce is a chance to escape, every dip buy is catching a falling knife.
Key levels
Resistance above: 4.26 → 5.12 (only if it stabilizes above can we talk about bottoming)
Support below: 3.10 → 2.50 → 2.0 psychological level
On one hand:
Multi-chain trading terminal + AI engine, the narrative sounds sexy
Has buyback and burn mechanism, already bought back 22 million tokens
Rose 309% in a month, once surged 192% in a week
On the other hand:
95% of tokens are in insiders' hands, you're playing a "house game"
280 million tokens unlock on July 14, 500 million USD sell pressure on the way
Founder previously screwed up a project, just changed to a new alias
KOLs promote with 80% discounts, every shill you see is paid
Unilaterally changed lock-up period from 3 months to 9 months, contracts can be torn up at will
Brothers who are already holding:
Any bounce is a chance to escape. Reduce positions near 4.26, clear out above 5. Don't fantasize about "averaging down" — bottom-fishing in a project where 95% of chips are controlled is just sending money to the house.
Brothers who are empty-handed and want to buy the dip:
I know what you're thinking — "It's already down 88%, how much lower can it go?"
I'll tell you: It can.
Only 31% is in circulation, 280 million tokens unlock on July 14. When the house dumps, you won't even have the strength to fight back.
If you're really itching:
Wait until after the July unlock peak, wait for the price to consolidate sideways on low volume in the 2.5-3 range for at least two weeks, then consider a tiny position. Stop loss at 2.0. Total position no more than 3%.
Short?
Don't touch it. With this volatility, long and short liquidations are the norm.
Can you buy the dip on LAB?
A coin where 95% of chips are in insiders' hands,
A coin whose founder previously screwed up a project,
A coin about to unlock 280 million tokens —
What makes you think you can make money?
Every "positive news" you see is something the project team wants you to see.
Every "shill" you hear is from a KOL paid with an 80% discount.
In a house game, the only role for retail is to be exit liquidity. #GUSD年化升至3.8% #美终止对伊朗石油制裁豁免 #SK海力士ADR获超额认购 $BTC $SOL $LAB