What just happened! One statement from Trump, and gold and crude oil moved in completely opposite directions 👀

At the NATO summit, he said the US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding was "terminated," and US stock futures immediately plunged, with the Nasdaq 100 futures dropping over 1%. BTC $BTC ‌
was also dragged down, falling below 62,000.

But while watching the market, I noticed something interesting—gold and crude oil reacted completely differently.

Gold $XAU ‌
4-hour price at 4071, down 1.52% in 24h, with a low near 4069. Normally, escalating geopolitical risk should boost gold, but it went the opposite way. Looking at the RSI(6), it's only 12.35—last time I saw this level was during last year's panic dump.

Crude oil is a completely different story. WTI rose to 74.74, up 7.77%; Brent $BZ ‌
at 78.58, up 7.81%. The logic actually makes sense—the US just revoked Iran's oil sales permits, and the expectation of tighter supply directly pushed oil prices up.

So why did gold fall?

The market is trading the inflation narrative—oil up → inflation expectations rise → Fed less likely to cut rates → dollar strengthens → gold under pressure.

Here's my take:

Gold is severely oversold on RSI at this level, but don't rush to buy the dip—wait for the daily close to confirm support.

Crude oil is driven by short-term geopolitical sentiment, so chasing it is risky. If you have a position, set a trailing stop-loss.

What do you think about this divergence between gold and crude? Let's chat in the comments 👊
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