0.0921 $GWEI, those who bought the dip yesterday should be cursing at the intraday low of 0.0915 now. A 27% crash tells you what it means to kill without a knife in a liquidity bull market.

Slap the data of the three halving cycles right in your face: After the 2016 halving, the maximum drawdown from the peak was -38%, and it consolidated sideways for 63 days before starting the main uptrend. After the 2020 halving, the maximum drawdown was -53%, but the price oscillated at the top area for 89 days before crashing. What about this time in 2024? It had already dropped -32% before the halving, and currently the lowest after halving is -27%, but the weekly volume has shrunk to only 64% of last week. Drawing the historical pattern, the current price is exactly stuck in the pre-halving "accumulation cost line" range of 0.088-0.092.
Three sets of iron laws: 1. Three months before each halving, altcoins will first halve and then rebound; GWEI dropped from 0.16 to 0.09, a -43% drop that has already completed the historical average task. 2. On the 30th day after halving, the coin turnover rate must hit an ice point; today is the 31st day after halving, and the turnover rate has fallen to 0.8% - exactly the same as the consolidation period in 2020. 3. On-chain data shows that in the 0.085-0.09 range, there are 62 million old coins that have never moved, which is a typical miner cost bottom.
Operations directly given: - Place a limit order now to buy at 0.088 (keep a 0.5 BTC position) - Set stop-loss at 0.076 (breaking below means the halving logic collapses) - Take-profit in two tiers: first target 0.128 (previous high resistance), second target 0.18 (weekly MA60 resistance) - Control position size within 30%, because the shrinking volume consolidation phase is most afraid of unexpected volume dumping.
I have two accounts. The large account is already trapped at 0.092, and the small account placed a limit order to buy at 0.088 today. History does not repeat itself simply, but it rhymes — the annoying "fake death pit" after the 2020 halving, now the script is exactly the same.