This time I shorted $RE—right when everyone thought it was solid. That’s just human nature: the more people say it’s fine, the more I want to see whether the price action has already started to loosen.

After RE surged to a high and moved up first, each bounce-back looked weaker than the last. Near 0.71099, I didn’t chase a short; I waited for confirmation. The real shift happened when the bulls were still shouting “breakout,” but the price was no longer willing to push higher.

Later, it pulled back from 0.71099 to 0.64784, and the short-side feedback showed +178.42%. This move wasn’t guessing the top—it was reading things in the opposite direction of the crowd. A lot of losses don’t come from being wrong on direction; they come from everyone putting too much faith in the same direction.

Now that the profit has already played out, I won’t add positions based on emotion. I’ll first move the protection level to a comfortable spot, take some profits in batches, and then see whether the shorts can continue to control the market. If I miss the rest, that’s fine—contrarian thinking is most afraid of turning into blindly going against things.

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