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LINK bear trap or real breakdown?
$LINK /USDT - SHORT
Trading Plan:
Entry: 7.821 – 7.855
SL: 8.004
TP1: 7.714
TP2: 7.631
TP3: 7.506
Why focus on this structure?
The daily trend is clearly bearish, with a 95% high-confidence bearish signal on the 4H timeframe. The current price of 7.838 is close to the EMA resistance line, and the 15-minute RSI is only 37.96, indicating exhausted rebound momentum. Why now? Because the 1-hour ATR is only 0.069, and volatility contraction is usually followed by a directional breakout, while the bearish structure remains unchanged.
Discussion:
Do you think LINK will first reach TP1 at 7.714, or will it experience a false breakdown and then rebound?