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ETH short with 95% win rate, but this time might be different?
$ETH /USDT - Short SHORT
Trading Plan:
Entry: 1769.88 – 1778.22
SL: 1814.10
TP1: 1744.01
TP2: 1723.99
TP3: 1693.95
Why focus on this structure?
- 4H bearish signal, RSI 15m at 37.34, oversold but not reversed.
- Daily trend clearly bearish, 1H ATR 16.69, moderate volatility.
- Why now? Entry at 1774.05, TP1 1744, TP2 1723, SL 1814 — downward momentum not exhausted, but 1741.79 is the invalidation level, breaking this level invalidates the short thesis.
Discussion:
Will it hit TP2 1723 first, or trap shorts and bounce to stop loss?