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Williams: Energy prices have fallen, slightly optimistic about the inflation outlook
New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams said in a television interview that his concerns about price pressures in the economy have eased.
Speaking on Fox Business, he said: "Inflation is still too high, and given that energy prices are about to fall, I am actually a bit more optimistic about the near-term inflation outlook. We are seeing a significant drop in oil prices—not just current oil prices but also future expected oil prices. Energy prices are expected to fall significantly, which will bring down the overall inflation rate."
However, Williams did not explicitly say this changed his long-standing monetary policy stance. "Monetary policy is in a good position... able to achieve our goals of maximum employment and price stability." But he did not provide any guidance on whether the Fed's next interest rate move will be a hike or a cut.
Last month, the Federal Reserve held its policy meeting and kept the overnight interest rate target range unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75%. With inflation persistently above the 2% target, several Fed officials have been focused on the possibility of rate hikes. However, the pressure for rate hikes has eased following a fragile ceasefire after the intense phase of the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran. That conflict had roiled global energy prices and supply chains, but as the U.S. and Iran attempt to reach a settlement through negotiations, some of the pressure has eased.
When asked about the Fed's next move, Williams said: "It really depends on how the data evolves and the risks to the economic outlook. Right now, I think policy is in a good place. We just need to see how the economy evolves over the coming months."
Williams said in the interview that the economy continues to grow at a solid pace, and risks in the labor market have stabilized. He has no plans to change his communication style under Fed Chair Warsh. "I often share my views on economic data, the economic outlook, and my thoughts on monetary policy. It's more about positioning interest rate policy relative to the Fed's objectives rather than forward guidance. I plan to continue doing that."