Egrag Crypto Presents XRP's 2-Week Candle Battle and Likely Trend to Expect

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Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has posted a fresh technical outlook for XRP on X, suggesting that the asset has reached a decisive point where both buyers and sellers continue to defend their respective positions.

According to the analyst, the last two two-week (2W) candles reveal a market locked in a struggle, with neither side establishing clear control.

Egrag Crypto explained that XRP is currently trading within what he described as a “major 2W decision zone.” He believes the next two-week candle close could determine whether the cryptocurrency resumes an upward trend or experiences renewed downside pressure.

Upper and Lower Wicks Reveal Strong Resistance and Support

Egrag Crypto based his analysis on the structure of XRP’s two most recent two-week candlesticks, highlighting the significance of both their upper and lower wicks.

He pointed out that the large upper wick shows buyers were able to push XRP higher before sellers stepped in and rejected the advance. According to the analyst, this confirms that several overhead price levels remain difficult to overcome.

He identified $1.40 and $1.65 as important resistance levels while also referencing the blue macro resistance zone displayed on his chart. Egrag Crypto added that the $1.20 candle body resistance has become a critical level that bulls must reclaim if they hope to regain momentum.

The chart illustrates this resistance area while also projecting a potential move toward $1.65 should XRP successfully break above the upper boundary.

On the opposite side, the analyst noted that the large lower wick tells an equally important story. He said bears attempted to drive XRP lower, but buyers entered aggressively and defended the market before prices could fall further.

Egrag Crypto highlighted the $1.00 and $1.05 region as a key support area, adding that the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) and the lower ascending trendline continue to strengthen this zone. His chart also marks additional downside reference points near $0.96 and the 200 EMA around $0.77.

Key Levels Could Determine XRP’s Next Major Move

Based on this market structure, Egrag Crypto concluded that XRP remains in a period of compression rather than a confirmed bullish or bearish trend.

He stated that a sustained move above $1.20 would indicate that bulls are regaining control, while a break above $1.40 would strengthen the bullish outlook further. According to the analyst, a rally beyond $1.65 would serve as a macro breakout signal and could mark the beginning of a stronger upward move.

Conversely, he advised caution if XRP falls below $1.05, saying that a decline under $0.96 would signal increasing weakness. He also identified the $0.77 to $0.78 range as a danger zone, although he described it as a “generational buy” area for long-term investors.

Summarizing his outlook, Egrag Crypto said XRP is currently neither fully bullish nor fully bearish. Instead, he believes price action is compressing within a well-defined range, making the next two-week candle close especially important. He concluded his analysis by emphasizing that market structure should take precedence over short-term market noise and emotional reactions.

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