$B 0.1712, -25.24% wipes out two weeks of gains in one day, with a 24-hour high of 0.2304 crashing to 0.1570, and a trading volume of 18M indicating panic selling hasn't been fully flushed out.

History pattern skeptics pour cold water: Before the first halving, B went from 0.02 to 0.35, then retraced to 0.12, a drop of 65%; before the second halving, it surged from 0.08 to 0.52, then pulled back to 0.21, down 60%; before the third, it skyrocketed from 0.18 to 0.78, then collapsed to 0.28, down 64%. Now, from 0.42 to 0.157, it has already shed 62%. If we mechanically apply historical patterns, this cycle's extreme low might be in the 0.12-0.14 range, but note—each bottom has been 10-20% higher than the previous one because the cost basis of chips is rising.

So the current price level is "the tail end of a sharp decline overlapped with a historical support zone." 0.157 was the lower edge of the range after the last halving. Place limit orders to buy at 0.16-0.17 spot, with a stop loss at 0.14 (if it breaks, admit defeat, because historically the bottom has never broken below the 0.12-0.14 range). First target 0.25, second target 0.35. Position size should not exceed 15% of total funds, because the 24-hour drop acceleration shows the derivatives liquidation chain is still speeding up, and shorts haven't surrendered.

Don't believe the "this time is different" nonsense. In every cycle, 2-4 months before the halving, there is this pattern of "sharp decline to wash out weak hands + accumulation." Cast your vote: Do you think 0.157 is the bottom this round, or will it go to 0.12 to fill the gap? Bet on the left or the right? I'm betting that it will oscillate and build a bottom around 0.157 for two weeks before taking off, because whales added 30k long contracts at this level.

History doesn't repeat simply, but it rhymes. I'm the trader who specifically follows the rhythm of cycles to gobble up panic sell-offs. Follow me, and I'll send a signal 24 hours before the next sharp drop.