One of the most noteworthy performances to watch in the short term is the strengthening negative correlation between the US Dollar Index and Bitcoin’s price action. Currently, the correlation coefficient between the two is already very close to -1, showing a significant inverse relationship between the two markets over the past 25 trading days.



This means that, recently, Bitcoin has often tended to fluctuate in the opposite direction to the US dollar. However, it’s still important to remember that the correlation coefficient changes over time.

This relationship is especially important because the recent loss of some strength in the US dollar—driven mainly by market expectations that the Federal Reserve will be less aggressive—has coincided with Bitcoin’s recent rise. In other words, a decline in demand for USD-denominated assets may be creating room for risk assets such as cryptocurrencies to regain short-term appeal.

If this relationship continues and the dollar weakness becomes even more pronounced, the environment in the next few trading days may still be favorable for a recovery in risk appetite in the cryptocurrency market#BTC
USIDX0.20%
BTC-1.07%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 2
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
WhirlpoolInATeacup
· 14h ago
It's interesting that the negative correlation is close to -1, but a sample of 25 trading days is too short. Historical experience shows that this kind of relationship can turn around anytime. Let's wait and see.
View OriginalReply0
PfpArchaeologist
· 15h ago
The weakening of the U.S. dollar index has indeed loosened the constraints on risk assets, but how long the -1 negative correlation can last still depends on the Federal Reserve's stance—don't bet too heavily.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pinned