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Finally ends 9 consecutive declines! Oracle has fallen for 18 days in the past 22 trading days.
Oracle's stock price finally halted its longest losing streak since 2021, but the depth and persistence of the decline remain notable to the market.
Overnight, Oracle's stock closed up 2.49% at $143.76, ending a nine-day losing streak—its longest since June 15—and posting its biggest single-day gain since then. The stock briefly touched $145.62 during the session, 3.8% above the previous close.
However, this rebound can hardly mask the deeper weakness. Since hitting a 2026 closing high of $248.15 on June 1, Oracle has fallen on 18 of the past 22 trading days, with a cumulative decline of 26.2%.
At the same time, Wall Street analysts' bullish sentiment toward the stock has reached a near 20-year peak, with the average price target implying over 80% upside from the current share price—a stark contrast.
The Depth of the Decline: 56% Down and a "True Crash"
The intensity of this selloff is rare in Oracle's recent history. During the nine-day losing streak, the stock fell 24% cumulatively, the longest streak since December 2021. Extending the timeframe, since hitting an all-time closing high of $324.33 on September 10, 2025, Oracle's stock has fallen 56.2%; its 52-week decline stands at 38.1%.
According to Barron's, what's more notable is that Oracle's decline has diverged from an overall rebound in the software sector. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF rose for five consecutive trading days through last Thursday, gaining more than 10%, while Oracle moved in the opposite direction during the same period. This divergence suggests that what's dragging Oracle down is not systemic industry pressure, but company-specific factors.
Capital expenditures and debt issues are the main risks hanging over Oracle, and are widely seen as key reasons for its persistent underperformance.
Analysts believe Oracle needs external financing to support its capex plans, citing "funding challenges" as a key risk. The company's expanding spending scale and growing debt are the core concerns currently weighing on investors.
Analysts Stand Firm: 84% Buy Rating, Target Price Implies 82% Upside
Despite ongoing price pressure, Wall Street's confidence in Oracle is at historical highs. According to FactSet, 84% of analysts covering Oracle give it a Buy rating—a proportion only briefly surpassed in May 2011 over the past 20 years. The average analyst price target is $254.84, implying roughly 82% upside from last Thursday's close.
Among them, Mizuho Securities analyst Siti Panigrahi is the most bullish, with a target of $320, and Oracle is a key recommendation for Mizuho. In a research note last Thursday, Panigrahi stated, "Oracle's end-to-end AI technology stack spanning database, infrastructure, and application layers makes it a core long-term beneficiary of the AI wave."
KeyBanc analyst also raised their earnings forecast for Oracle last month, citing "growing confidence that operating expense growth will remain moderate," and maintained an Overweight rating and $300 price target, arguing that "the future upside comes from here."
As the AI infrastructure arms race intensifies, whether Oracle can deliver on its growth promises while maintaining financial discipline will be the key variable determining whether its stock can move toward analysts' price targets.
Risk Warning and Disclaimer