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It’s interesting to witness psychology around valuation anchoring + scarcity.
Retail, for example, are buying Figure, last valued at ~$39B through CEFs…
At $158B, since it’s private, round 4x valuations.
Then Agility Robotics $CCXI, which has broader commercialization.
Is at ~$4.3B pre-money and publicly available before the name change. At closer pricing that $AMZN, $NVDA, SoftBank, and Foxconn vaulted it at.
Yet some end up paying 4-5x prices of already hiked private investor rounds for exposure…
I’m convinced if Agility raised a very small private round at $39B as well from $2.5B (which it definitely could), to set a valuation anchor.
Investors would be foaming in the mouth for a private allocation, just due to psychology rather than underlying fundamentals.
We’ve also seen this anchoring with $SPCX recently at $1.75T.
Peak market inefficiency? Or lack of knowledge from retail?