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Belgium’s defense and attack are riddled with problems—or how Little Fortune’s World Cup betting diary predicts the US comeback to advance 🔥

Everyone is waiting for Belgium to cruise through easily, but I have to say—this Belgium is heading toward collapse in the most dangerous way. After just surviving 120 minutes of extra time by the skin of their teeth, their back line is riddled with holes, internal strife has only just erupted in the squad, and the core players are collectively old and aging… With this Belgium facing a US team that is well-rested and tearing up at home, it’s not “an upset could happen”—it’s that every condition for an upset is already fully in place.

**Flaw One: The Back Line—A Disaster-Level Performance**

First, look at Belgium’s previous match against Senegal. That wasn’t a defensive line—it was four people standing there watching a picture.

Senegal’s forward stepped back and turned to head the ball, and those four Belgian defenders just stood there, watching the ball go into the net; then they collectively froze, waiting for the opponent to surge in to pounce for the follow-up shot. CCTV’s well-known commentator Han Qiaosheng put it with precision: “All along, the hard flaws of insufficient midfield control and loose man-marking in the back were exposed.” Sina Sports was even more direct, venting: “What on earth is this Belgian back line?”

This isn’t a one-off mistake in a single match—it’s a systemic breakdown. In their last 10 matches, Belgium have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game. Against Germany they went down 0-2; against Croatia they lost 1-2. The problems keep repeating: poor interception from the holding midfielders, and center-backs not stepping in to help in time.

So what does the US have? McKennie and Adams—two midfield meat grinders. They can effectively limit De Bruyne’s ability to distribute the ball. Once KDB is cut off, Belgium’s attacking build-up collapses. Even more lethal is the US team’s high press and fast counterattacks—those are precisely the nightmare for this aging Belgian back line. You can’t get back, because your defenders can’t out-sprint the Americans’ bursts.

**Flaw Two: Energy Exhaustion After 120 Minutes—The Lethal Gap of Being Well-Rested**

This is the factor that’s easiest to overlook, yet the most deadly.

In their last match against Senegal, Belgium fell behind 0-2. In the final 10 minutes they pulled two goals back to drag the game into extra time, and then they won on a stoppage-time penalty where Tielemans scored. They played a full 120 minutes. In the last 30 minutes, the whole team was basically propping itself up on sheer willpower.

And the US? They took care of Bosnia 2-0 in a clean, straightforward way—90 minutes settled the battle, and their main players were all well-rested, with no need to grind.

Belgium’s core players—De Bruyne at 34, Lukaku at 33, Courtois at 33—none of them hasn’t played a whole season grinding it out in the top five leagues, right? For them, 120 minutes of extra time isn’t “winning”; it’s draining the energy reserves that were already barely left.

By contrast, the US team is young, can run, and dares to charge forward. Pochettino’s tactics are high pressing plus rapid transitions. This style needs energy more than anything. And what Belgium fears most is exactly that—energy.

When Belgium starts to wheeze after the 60-minute mark, the US goals will come in like a tide.

**Flaw Three: Internal Strife—The Team’s Split Is Visible to the Naked Eye**

If the gap in defense and the weakness in fitness can still be covered up with ability, then internal strife is a ticking time bomb—and it’s already started counting down.

In the previous match against Senegal, at the 70th minute, captain Tielemans and Trossard got into a heated argument on the pitch, nearly coming to blows! Lukaku rushed over to break it up, and even Senegal’s players ran over to help calm things down.

Then what? In the 89th minute, the two who had just been arguing completed an “internal-strife link-up”—Trossard crossed from the left, and Tielemans headed in to equalize. After the goal, the two hugged tightly as if nothing had happened.

But everyone saw it. The crack is right there.

People who know Belgium well understand this isn’t the first time. In the 2018 World Cup, Courtois and De Bruyne privately had essentially no communication; in the 2022 Qatar tournament, the factional struggle involving Hazard and De Bruyne, and Vertonghen, directly led to their elimination in the group stage.

A team that just argued on the pitch—do you expect them to stay united in the knockout round? The US won’t give them time to reconcile. High pressure from the start, leaving you no chance even to catch your breath, let alone to repair relationships.

**Flaw Four: Psychological Shadow from Head-to-Head History—The Nightmare of 2-5 Still Isn’t Over**

On March 28, 2026, right here at Seattle’s Lumen Field, Belgium thrashed the US 5-2. After the second half began, Belgium scored four straight goals, and more than 60,000 US fans started leaving early, even 10 minutes before full time.

US media outlet FrontRowSoccer’s headline was: “Second-half nightmare: Belgium 5-2 crushes the USA.”

But pay attention—that was a friendly match, and the US didn’t send their strongest lineup. Now this is a World Cup knockout match. The US is playing at home, and the support of fans across the country will turn Lumen Field into a volcano.

More importantly: Is that Belgium that won 5-2 the same Belgium that just played 120 minutes of extra time, with defensive holes everywhere and just finished arguing within the squad?

The answer is obviously no. But Americans remember that scoreline—they will step onto the pitch with the fire of revenge.

**Flaw Five: Aging—This Belgium Is Repeating Germany’s 2018 Misstep**

In the 2018 World Cup, why did Germany go out in the group stage? Their squad was aging, they couldn’t keep up physically, and South Korea’s high press tore through their entire back line.

Eight years later, Belgium is walking the same road.

De Bruyne is 34 and lives on rhythm, kept alive by that “time-and-space bending” through ball; Lukaku is 33—he’s still a threat inside the box, but his running ability is long past its prime; Courtois is 33. As a goalkeeper, the position’s biggest fear is a decline in reaction speed, and the US team’s fast counterattacks are exactly what exploits slow-reacting keepers.

And their substitute depth is even more bleak. Once they fall behind, Belgium basically has no late options to change the game from the bench. In the last match against Senegal, if it weren’t for Lukaku coming on as a substitute, they would already have been going home.

And the US? Pulisic, McKennie, Dest—every one of them is in their prime. The team’s running ability averages out across the board, and Pochettino’s 4-4-2 reshuffle can be deployed at any time.

Old guns do have experience, but when your legs can’t run anymore, experience is worthless.