The probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law in 2026 rises to 52%.

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BlockBeats News, July 5 – According to Polymarket data, the probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law in 2026 has risen to 52%, up 12 percentage points from July 3.

On the news front, the Major County Sheriffs of America (MCSA) stated that after initially raising concerns about how the bill would impact illicit financial investigations, the association has withdrawn its opposition to the CLARITY Act. Analysts believe that the MCSA's shift in stance has reduced a key obstacle in the advancement of the CLARITY Act, increasing its feasibility of entering the Senate voting process. However, opposition from the banking industry regarding stablecoin yield products and DeFi regulation remains a major uncertainty.

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