Regarding the June non-farm payroll data (the Big NFP), this report released on July 2 showed a "cold snap" overall, significantly below market expectations.

Below are the core data and market interpretation:
New employment: The June non-farm payrolls added only 57k, far below the market expectation of 110k to 115k, the lowest level in nearly 4 months.12
Historical data revisions: The combined employment data for April and May were revised down by 74k, indicating that the market's earlier high-employment judgment was inflated, with clear signals of a cooling labor market.23
Unemployment rate and participation rate: The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell from 4.3% to 4.2% (the lowest since June 2025), but this was mainly due to a 0.3 percentage point decline in the labor force participation rate to 61.5% (the lowest in nearly five years), with 832k people leaving the labor force, not a substantive tightening of the job market.12
Wage growth: The average hourly wage for private non-farm workers rose 0.3% month-over-month to $37.64 in June, with a year-over-year growth rate of 3.5%, indicating persistent wage-side inflation stickiness.23
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SOL contract strategy market analysis:
1. Light long position: Long near 79.5, first take profit 81.7, second take profit 83.5, stop loss 80;
2. Main long position: Long near 74.7, first take profit 79.2, second take profit 83, stop loss 73;
3. Small heavy long position: Long near 71.8, first take profit 82.5, second take profit 83.8, stop loss 68;
4. Counter-trend short position: Short near 83.8, first take profit 80.8, second take profit 74.9, stop loss 84.8;
For all orders, try to deduct 1-2 points for fees, set a breakeven, and continue holding
Note: The above strategies represent only personal views, for reference only, not a recommendation, and you are solely responsible for profits and losses!
Financial market reaction: After the data release, the U.S. dollar index briefly plunged below the 101 mark; U.S. stocks rose pre-market, and safe-haven assets such as gold surged. The market exhibited the logic that "bad data is good news," believing that cooling employment helps ease inflationary pressures and provides room for the economy's "soft landing."#非农数据 #SOL行情分析 $BTC $ETH