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Bitcoin Cycle Phase Patterns (Based on Historical Data Extrapolation)
Referencing the general rhythm of the previous four cycles, the next cycle can be roughly divided into three phases:
1. Post-Halving Uptrend Phase (April 2028 – End of 2029): The supply contraction effect gradually emerges, and the market transitions from oscillating and bottoming to a main upward wave. Historically, bull market peaks typically occur 12–18 months after the halving.
2. Bear Market Decline Phase (Full Year 2030): After the bull market peaks, it enters a valuation regression, typically hitting the bear market bottom around 12 months after the peak.
3. Bottom Grinding Accumulation Phase (2031 – Early 2032): Prices oscillate at low levels over the long term, accumulating energy for the next halving rally.