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‍# Prediction World Cup Brazil vs Norway
Raphinha is likely to be injured, from the lineup perspective, can the five-star Brazil handle the Viking Pirates? -- Little Fortune God's World Cup Betting Diary 🔥

In the Round of 16 of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada World Cup, Brazil will face Norway. Ancelotti led Brazil in pre-match training, and Brazilian media Globo Esporte reported and analyzed the training.

Raphinha trained, warmed up with teammates, but unlike the previous day, he participated more in full-team training. He previously suffered a right thigh injury in the match against Haiti and has now recovered. He took part in the warm-up portion of the full-team training but spent most of the time doing individual training. At the end of the session, he joined the full-team training.

Injured Lucas Paquetá is the only absent player for Ancelotti. The most likely replacements for his position are Danilo Santos and Martinelli. In Friday's training, the coach tested Martinelli in the starting lineup. On Thursday, he tested Danilo in the starting eleven.

Brazil's expected starting lineup against Norway is: Alisson; Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel, Douglas Santos; Casemiro, Bruno Guimarães, Martinelli (or Danilo Santos); Rayan, Cunha, Vinícius.

On the other side, Norway's total squad value is as high as ‌502 million euros‌, on paper they qualify as a European powerhouse. According to the team's usual ‌4-2-3-1 formation‌, the starting lineup is roughly as follows:

‌Goalkeeper: Nyland (8 million euros)‌

A veteran from the Swedish league, although not high in value, performed steadily in the match against Ivory Coast and is the last line of defense for the team.

‌Defensive line: Ajer (18 million euros) + Østigård (13 million euros) + Ryerson (25 million euros) + Bjørkan (3.5 million euros)‌

The core of this defensive line is Ajer (Borussia Dortmund) and Ryerson (RB Leipzig), with a combined value of 43 million euros, forming the backbone of the defense. But the problem is that against Ivory Coast, the defensive line frequently made mistakes and was repeatedly broken through even against a non-top-tier opponent. Whether this defense can hold up for 90 minutes against Brazil is a huge question mark.

‌Double defensive midfielders: Patrick Berg (8 million euros) + Thorsby (28 million euros)‌

Patrick Berg is the first barrier behind Haaland, while Thorsby is responsible for midfield distribution and interceptions. But the biggest hidden danger in Norway's midfield is that ‌the technical finesse and game tempo control of the two are clearly inferior compared to the Brazilian midfield.‌

‌Attacking midfielder: Ødegaard (65 million euros) — the real brain of the team‌

The Arsenal captain is Norway's absolute core. He provided a key assist for Nusa's world-class goal against Ivory Coast, while frequently pulling horizontally to disrupt the opponent's defense. It can be said that ‌whether Norway's attack can function depends 80% on Ødegaard's form.‌

‌Wide forwards: Nusa (32 million euros) + Schjelderup (30 million euros)‌

Nusa is the youngest World Cup goalscorer in Norway's history, and his world-class strike against Ivory Coast amazed everyone. Schjelderup also comes from a major European league, with speed and dribbling as his weapons. But their consistency under high-intensity pressure still needs to be verified.

‌Center forward: Haaland (200 million euros) — the team's only "nuclear weapon"‌

Valued at 200 million euros, the world's top center forward. He scored the game-winner in the 85th minute against Ivory Coast, receiving a diagonal pass from Bobb, and has scored in each of his last 13 matches — terrifying. ‌But Haaland's performance heavily depends on teammates' support — when Ødegaard is neutralized and the midfield cannot effectively supply ammunition, Haaland becomes isolated and helpless.‌

Key Decisive Factors: Three Critical Matchups That Will Determine the Game

🔑 Matchup 1: Haaland vs. Gabriel

This is the most crucial matchup of the match. Gabriel has successfully limited Haaland multiple times in the Premier League; the two are old rivals. If Gabriel continues to contain Haaland, Norway's attack will be completely neutralized.

🔑 Matchup 2: Ødegaard vs. Brazil's Midfield Group

Ødegaard is the only Norwegian player who can match Brazil technically. If the Brazilian midfield can cut off the connection between Ødegaard and Haaland, Norway becomes a "brainless team."

🔑 Matchup 3: Brazilian Full-backs Overlapping vs. Norway's Counterattack

Brazil's full-backs (Danilo, Wendell) push up heavily, which leaves huge counterattacking space for Haaland. If Norway can seize even one counterattack opportunity, Haaland can end the game.

Final Prediction

‌Brazil 65% win probability, Norway 35% win probability.‌

Brazil's overall strength, squad depth, and big-game experience far surpass Norway's. But Norway has Haaland, full stamina, a psychological advantage of historical invincibility, and possible tactical adjustments by Solbakken (if he finally remembers he has two tall strikers).

‌Most likely scoreline: Brazil 2-1 Norway, or Brazil 3-1 Norway.‌

Haaland is very likely to score — he has scored in 13 consecutive national team matches, and this streak won't end against Brazil. But one goal is not enough; Norway needs at least two to turn the game around.