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Woken up in the middle of the night by a full bladder,
Instinctively grabbed my phone and glanced at the market—straight-up wide awake 🤯
$BTC
It hit 63290,
$ETH
Held steady at 1792,
$VANRY
Even crazier, shot up 60%+ in a single day! Who can handle that?
Checked the CME data, the probability of a Fed rate hike in July is now only 21.9%. What is the market pricing in? Rate cut expectations. As macro pressure eases, money floods in—BTC heading straight for 63500, ETH also broke through the 1800 mark.
But don't celebrate too early—look at BTC's RSI, 79.0 on the 1-hour chart, already overbought. The cost of chasing highs is something you'll have to weigh.
Over on VANRY, it's even more intense—24-hour volume of 36.5 billion tokens, insane turnover. With this kind of volume, hot money is going all out. RSI at 6-hour 77.9, also at elevated levels.
My take:
The broad direction is fine, but there's a need for a short-term pullback. If you have positions, take partial profits in batches, keep a base position for the long term.
If you're holding cash, don't FOMO. Wait for a retrace to the 4-hour Bollinger middle band before considering—BTC around 62500, ETH around 1760.
Remember: In bull markets, heavy dips; in bear markets, massive pumps. Don't let one big green candle change your whole perspective.
What's your take on this move? Chat in the comments 👇
#非农爆冷打压加息预期