RPL surged 28% in the last 24 hours, moving from 1.595 to 2.088, with a trading volume of 13.5 million, a massive breakout. Matching the halving cycle: After the third halving in 2020, RPL started at 0.3 and rallied to 2.1 within three months, almost identical to the current rhythm—bottom volume expansion + neckline breakout. After the fourth halving in July 2024, RPL shot from 0.8 to 2.5, but only gathered momentum after a pullback to around 1.6. Now at 2.088, historically this corresponds to the acceleration phase around day 60 after the halving, but volume hasn't yet reached the peak levels of the previous two cycles.

Trading logic: If you're a short-term trader, you can lightly open a long position in the 2.0-2.05 range, with a stop loss at 1.85 and a target of 2.3-2.5. For long-term, wait for a pullback to 1.8-1.9 before adding positions, and keep allocation below 5%. Don't chase highs; historical data shows that after such explosive rallies, there's typically a 12-15% shakeout pullback.

History doesn't repeat exactly, but it rhymes—if RPL copies 2020's pattern, this is just the prelude. If you want to track real-time data, I have minute-level volume and price tracking in my group.