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$ETHFI 1-hour surge of 15%, but the real profit lies in extreme sentiment values. Tell me your current state: A. Chasing highs to go long B. Staying out and watching C. Buying the dip and selling the top?
The current fear and greed index hits 28 (extreme fear), with a funding rate of -0.012% (shorts paying to go long). Comparing ETHFI historical data: Only 3 similar scenarios occurred in the past 30 days, each time with the funding rate breaking below -0.01% and the fear and greed index below 30, followed by an average gain of 21.7% in the next 24 hours, with a peak of 38%. Now at a price of 0.4115, just touched the previous high resistance at 0.4145 then pulled back, but the trading volume of 34.6M is the largest in the past 7 days. Remember one hard rule: When fear creates outflows and shorts pay high funding rates, it's using others' panic to pave the way for you.
Don't rush in blindly. This rally has climbed about 16% from the bottom of 0.3544, with near-term profit-taking pressure. Operation: At current price 0.4115, lightly enter a long position with 1/3 position, stop loss at 0.3950 (based on the bounce from this morning's low recovery logic), first target at 0.4350 (previous breakdown zone), second target at 0.4620 (near the 200-day moving average). If it pulls back to 0.4050 and holds, increase to half position. Special note: If the funding rate turns positive within 1 hour, immediately reduce position size—indicating that major players are trapping longs by closing shorts.
The market is like a spring compressed to the limit, but sentiment turning point = best entry. Don't wait until everyone is shouting about a bull run to jump in; by then, it's all handover positions. Follow my square updates; extreme sentiment signals will trigger early warnings. Remember: When others are fearful, I build positions in batches; when others close longs at high funding rates, I take profits. $ETHFI