ETH Four-Hour Level Market Review: Rebound Momentum Weakens, Do Not Chase Highs

Recently, many friends have been struggling with whether ETH's short-term move is the start of a new uptrend or the end of a rebound returning to consolidation. Today, I will break down the core four-hour structure, clarify the current trend and precise attack and defense points, and prevent blind trading pitfalls.

From the perspective of the four-hour broader cycle structure, ETH currently maintains a clear short-term rebound pattern, with the overall bullish repair framework intact. This is the core logic behind the recent sustained oscillating rise in price. However, it is crucial to note that the current market has shown clear signals of weakening momentum.

Observing the four-hour MACD indicator, it is clear that the upward slope of the indicator has significantly slowed, and the bullish volume has continued to weaken, no longer showing the strong upward movement seen earlier. In crypto short-term trading, when the trend pattern remains but momentum weakens first, it is often a precursor to the market entering a phase of volatile washout and pressure-driven decline. This is the current risk point that requires the most caution.

Combining the volume-price structure of the chart, this rebound has lacked sustained incremental capital support throughout, making it a typical technical repair rally rather than a trend reversal into a strong bullish market. Therefore, short-term upside is extremely limited, and the resistance overhead is very strong. At this stage, it is absolutely essential to avoid blindly chasing highs or following the crowd into long positions. Patiently wait for a confirmed breakout at key levels or a pullback to support for stabilization before buying on dips—this is the most prudent trading approach.

Let me clearly define the key high and low zones for everyone, providing universal precise attack and defense points:

Upper core resistance zone: 1775—1810

This zone is a dense consolidation pressure area formed by prolonged prior oscillation and frequent long-short battles, accumulating a large amount of trapped selling pressure.
Current market volume is insufficient to support a strong breakout above this zone. A low-volume spike upward will likely result in a pullback after the spike, with a high probability of the candle forming a long upper wick. Chasing highs in the short term will likely lead to being trapped.
Only if the subsequent market can break and hold above the 1810 resistance level with volume can we confirm a second leg of bullish strength, after which we can look at the next sprint target near the previous high of 1850.

Lower short-term strong support zone: 1680—1690

This position was a key breakout point for the previous move and is a classic support-resistance flip zone, successfully transitioning from former resistance to current short-term support.
Whenever the price retraces to this zone, short-term bullish buying emerges. It is the limit support level for intraday pullbacks. If a normal retrace does not break it, you can rely on this zone for a rebound repair.

Additionally, the deeper defensive level below refers to the four-hour trend support plus historical dense volume convergence zone. There is a significant amount of technical buying there, and it is also the accumulation zone for medium- to long-term capital. Even if the short-term market is weak and slightly breaks the short-term support, this level will provide strong underlying support, making a deep decline very unlikely.

Overall Trading Summary

1. Trend: The four-hour rebound structure persists, but bullish momentum is declining, favoring short-term oscillatory consolidation;
2. Approach: Do not chase highs or guess tops; focus on selling into resistance zones and, if support holds, buy on dips;
3. Core zones: Resistance 1775-1810, Support 1680-1690; closely watch the breakout direction of these zones to determine the subsequent trend.

The current market is in a typical transition period between strength and weakness. Patiently wait for direction selection, control the rhythm, and avoid impulsive trading—this is the best risk management!

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