France is more favored. In terms of overall squad depth, individual player ability, experience in major international tournaments, and offensive/defensive stability, France is usually superior to Paraguay. Paraguay's strengths lie in defensive resilience, physicality, and counter-attacking efficiency; if the game's pace is slowed down, they also have a chance to pull off an upset. Under normal performance, France has a clearly higher chance of winning; if France wastes opportunities and Paraguay successfully holds firm, the match could also become deadlocked. Overall assessment: France has a higher win probability.