#WeakNFPShakesRateHikeOdds


The latest U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report has become one of the most influential macroeconomic developments of the month, triggering a meaningful shift in expectations across global financial markets. June payrolls increased by only 57,000 jobs, well below the market consensus of around 110,000, while the previous month's figure was revised lower. Although the unemployment rate edged down to 4.2%, the decline was largely driven by weaker labor force participation rather than broad-based employment strength.
This combination signals that the U.S. labor market is cooling after an extended period of resilience. While employment growth remains positive, the pace is slowing enough to influence how investors view the Federal Reserve's next policy decisions.
NFP-21.02%
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ColdWalletLeftInTheAir
· 10h ago
Non-farm payroll data is so weak, the probability of a September rate cut has directly taken off, but the decline in the unemployment rate is due to a drop in the participation rate. The quality of this data is a bit delicate.
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