Will you chase $SOL at $81?

First, look at the surface: all bullish catalysts have been priced in, and the price is waking up from a deep correction.
Over the past week, SOL has risen 20%. 24-hour trading volume reached 1.05 million SOL. Intraday, it climbed from 80.34 to 81.88, successfully breaking above the two key moving averages, EMA34 (74.27) and EMA89 (72.48). The candlestick chart tells you: higher lows are forming, and the short-term structure has turned bullish.
Looking at this weekly green candle, are you regretting again that you "didn’t buy the dip at 73 back then"?
First: Alpenglow is not just hype; it is really coming.
Solana mainnet will undergo the Alpenglow upgrade in Q3, reducing transaction finality to 150 milliseconds.
Other public chains are still boasting about "how many transactions I can handle," while Solana is already competing on "you won’t feel the latency."
What institutions want is not just "fast," but "fast and stable." Alpenglow + Firedanger is Solana’s letter of introduction to Wall Street.
Second: on-chain data tells you retail users are back.
Daily active users peaked above 4 million in June, DEX trading volume continues to lead, and DeFi TVL has remained stable in the $5–8 billion range. Stablecoin liquidity is strong, the meme ecosystem is hot, and whale capital keeps flowing into popular assets like WIF.
This is the most real bottom signal.
Third: the technical chart has produced a signal that must be watched carefully.
Daily chart: breaking above EMA34 and EMA89, short-term structure turning bullish, trading volume modestly expanding — a classic "breakout + pullback confirmation" pattern. Nothing wrong with that.
But the 4-hour StochRSI has already entered overbought territory — price hasn’t even reached 82, but the indicator is already shouting "overheated."
Short-term chasing momentum is starting to fade, and profit-taking is building.
The $82 level is both a psychological barrier and a previous heavy supply zone. Failing to break through on the first attempt is normal; breaking through would be the surprise.
Key levels
Resistance above: 82.00 → 86.00 → 92.83
Support below: 79.82 → 74.50 → 68.22
Short-term aggressive:
Go long after a confirmed volume breakout above 82, target 85–88, stop loss below 80.
Short-term conservative:
Wait for a pullback to 79.5–80.5 to buy, stop loss at 78.5, first target 82–85.
Medium-term position building:
The core logic is simple — hold the major 74–77 support + Alpenglow + Firedanger + continued ETF inflows = trend reversal. Buy in batches between 79–82, keeping position size to 5–15% of total capital. Target 85–95 in the short term, with higher levels possible in the medium term.
Risk control:
Set each trade’s stop loss at 2–5% of total capital
Don’t use high leverage; spot or low leverage is enough
If 74 dollars is lost — reduce exposure and wait, don’t fight it
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