Palantir CEO Karp slams "Token Economy" as deeply flawed, but he's still selling patriotic gold shovels.

Palantir CEO Alex Karp took aim at CNBC on July 1, saying the token billing model of OpenAI and Anthropic is “completely wrong,” relaying complaints from corporate clients that paying for tokens does not buy them any value. But Palantir also sells something else that’s hard to verify—by leaning on national security contracts and pie-in-the-sky valuations.
(Background: Michael Burry of The Big Short said Palantir is just a low-margin SaaS outsourcer! Anthropic is eating away at it.)
(Additional context: Even Meta has started telling its 6,000 employees to use AI sparingly; usage volume does not equal effective output.)

Table of Contents

Toggle

  • What Is Completely Wrong
  • The Illusion of Consumption
  • The Keys to the Token
  • Palantir Is Also Selling Shovels

Key Takeaways

  • Karp relays client complaints: “the tokens I paid for create no value,” directly calling out the failure of the AI billing model
  • Palantir Q1 2026 revenue: $1.63 billion, up 85% year over year; U.S. commercial revenue surged 133%
  • Nvidia partners to deploy open-weight models, echoing the crypto circle’s mantra: “Not your keys, not your coins”

On July 1, Alex Karp (Alex Karp), CEO of U.S. national security and data analytics software company Palantir, appeared on CNBC (the U.S. business TV network)’s flagship morning program Squawk Box, firing at OpenAI and Anthropic—two of the highest-valued AI labs in the world right now.

He didn’t name names or directly scold anyone, but that line—“something has already completely gone wrong”—was hard for Silicon Valley as a whole to pretend it didn’t hear. I watched the clip twice, and the more I watched, the more it felt like this was not just background chatter between AI companies, but a direct jab at how the AI industry defines “what it has produced” by “how much it burned,” and at who has the standing to step forward and expose it.

What Is Completely Wrong

That day on camera, Karp said he’d been hearing corporate clients complain, and he relayed the exact words as follows.

“I’m paying for tokens that create no value. These people are stealing the weights and alpha of my business.” (“I’m paying for tokens that create no value. These people are stealing the weights and alpha of my business.”)

The sharpest accusation here is not Karp himself running up huge token bills for Palantir. It’s the fact that he is relaying the clients’ feelings (and this framing matters a lot—Karp is smart enough to put the most cutting words into someone else’s mouth, keeping himself at a safe distance).

The second layer is his own judgment. He says what enterprises truly want is “control over their own compute, models, data stack, and alpha,” and that “they want to own the means of production.” He even helped spell out the questions buyers should ask model vendors.

Will you keep my data?

Will you one day step into my industry?

Karp’s point is that a token-based pricing business model is, in essence, using “how much you burn” to replace “what you’ve done.” Token is the smallest unit that AI service providers charge for based on usage. Every time the model processes a piece of text, it gets billed once. In theory, the more you use it, the more you rely on this tool—and reliance should equal value. But the problem is that burning more doesn’t necessarily mean you get more in return. Inside Silicon Valley, there’s even a term for this mindset: tokenmaxxing—treating the act of driving up token usage itself as the goal, rather than treating it as a means to achieve an actual objective.

The Illusion of Consumption

This logic trap won’t be unfamiliar to readers of “dong chain” (the crypto scene). In the last bull market, the whole industry also used consumption to stand in for value—on-chain transaction volume, how much Gas was burned, how high Total Value Locked (TVL) stacked up. Those numbers were all used as proof of whether a project “has value.”

The numbers look beautiful, and the token price looks even better. But burning more doesn’t mean you actually built something. TVL can be stacked by swapping value between left and right hands. Transaction volume can be boosted with wash trading. If Gas fees are burned aggressively, it doesn’t necessarily mean the underlying technology actually solved any problem—or that the project is truly useful.

Now the AI industry is facing the same issue. Token usage keeps climbing. Cloud service providers’ financial reports look great. But corporate clients are starting to pull out their bills and ask the most basic question: What did I actually get in exchange?

The Keys to the Token

Karp’s proposed solution is that enterprises should control their own compute, models, and data stack—not outsource everything to model vendors and pay them based on usage.

This is not just talk. By the end of June, Palantir had just announced an expanded partnership with Nvidia to deploy open-weight Nemotron models for the U.S. government in a “sovereign environment.” In plain terms, it means moving the model weights onto its own ground and running them there—without handing the models off to others. In the business world, companies really are re-evaluating the data autonomy that comes with building their own environments.

Palantir Is Also Selling Shovels

But once the story gets to this point, Karp—standing in front of the TV camera—has exposed the illusion others build by stacking consumption volume. If you think about it carefully, however, what Palantir sells is also based on a narrative that’s difficult to verify. That narrative is called sovereignty, it’s called national security, and it’s called pie-in-the-sky valuation.

Back in April this year, Karp floated his famous “22-point manifesto,” arguing that Silicon Valley should not only build apps, but should also invest in making weapons—and even calling for the U.S. to reinstate conscription.

Palantir’s quarterly results this season are indeed strong. For Q1 2026, revenue was $1.63 billion, up by about 85% year over year, and U.S. commercial revenue surged by 133% year over year.

Michael Burry (Michael Burry), the famous “Big Short” investor, poured cold water on the company in April this year as well. He said Palantir, in essence, is a low-margin SaaS outsourcing company, and Anthropic is eating up its business. Put Burry’s doubts about Karp alongside Karp’s doubts about OpenAI and Anthropic, and the vibe becomes clear.

Everyone feels like they’re selling the real thing, while everyone else is selling illusions.

“Are we really going to outsource the battlefield of this country to the consensus view in Silicon Valley? That is effing insane.” (“Are we really going to outsource the battlefield of this country to the consensus view in Silicon Valley? That is effing insane.”)

Frequently Asked Questions

When Karp says “tokens create no value,” who is he accusing?

This statement is Karp relaying corporate client complaints, not a direct accusation of Palantir’s own invoices. The criticism is aimed at token-billing model service providers like OpenAI and Anthropic.

Will open-weight models replace the token billing model?

When enterprises deploy open-weight models on their own, they can save on volume-based costs and retain data control. However, they still need to build their own compute and operational capabilities. So this is a matter of diverging paths, not a full replacement right now.

View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
No comments
  • Pinned